The Move Meter · November 2026

Should you make the move right now?

Our honest read on buying, refinancing, tapping equity and selling in today's Seattle-area market, with a quick yes or no check for your situation.

Updated October 31, 2026. Readings change with the market. Get the monthly update

Today's readings at a glance

Buying

Green light

Buying a home now

Buyers have the leverage: more homes to choose from, more time to decide and sellers willing to pay costs.

Makes sense if

  • You plan to stay at least 5 years
  • The payment fits your budget at today's rate
  • You'll still have savings after closing

Skip it if

  • You may move within 2 to 3 years
  • The payment only works if rates drop
  • Your job or income is uncertain
Check my situation
Do you plan to stay in the home 5 years or more?
Does the payment fit your budget at today's rates, without counting on a refinance?
Will you have at least 3 months of payments saved after closing?
Green light

Asking the seller to pay for a lower rate

With price cuts this common, a seller credit used to buy down your rate often lowers the payment more than the same amount off the price.

Makes sense if

  • The home has been listed 30+ days or already cut its price
  • You care most about the monthly payment
  • You plan to keep the loan several years

Skip it if

  • You're competing with multiple offers
  • You plan to sell or refinance within 2 years
Check my situation
Has the home been on the market 30 days or more, or had a price cut?
Is the monthly payment your top concern?
Do you expect to keep this loan at least 3 years?
Depends

Choosing an adjustable-rate loan (ARM)

A 5- or 7-year ARM starts lower than a 30-year fixed, but the payment can rise later. It fits a known time horizon, not a hope.

Makes sense if

  • You expect to sell or move within 5 to 7 years
  • You could afford the payment if the rate rose 2 points
  • You want the lower payment now

Skip it if

  • This is your forever home
  • A higher payment later would strain your budget
Check my situation
Do you expect to sell or move within 7 years?
Could you afford the payment if the rate went up 2 points after the fixed period?
Is this your long-term forever home?
Green light

Taking over a seller's low-rate loan

Many FHA and VA loans can be assumed, letting you keep the seller's 3–4% rate. You'll need cash or a second loan to cover the seller's equity.

Makes sense if

  • The listing has an FHA or VA loan
  • You have cash or can finance the seller's equity
  • You can wait for the servicer's approval (often 45 to 90 days)

Skip it if

  • The seller has a conventional loan (usually not assumable)
  • You need a quick close
Check my situation
Does the seller have an FHA or VA loan?
Can you cover the gap between the loan balance and the price?
Can you wait 45 to 90 days to close?

Already own

Wait

Refinancing to a lower rate

Most owners already have a rate below today's. A refinance pays only if your current rate is meaningfully higher or another part of the loan needs to change.

Makes sense if

  • Your rate is 8% or higher
  • You want to drop mortgage insurance or remove a co-borrower
  • Your ARM is about to adjust up

Skip it if

  • Your rate is below 7%
  • You'd reset a nearly paid-off loan for little savings
Check my situation
Is your current rate 8% or higher?
Do you need to drop mortgage insurance, remove a borrower or replace an ARM?
Is your current rate below 7%?
Wait

Cash-out refinance

It replaces your whole mortgage at today's rate. If your rate is low, you'd pay more on everything you already owe just to borrow the new amount.

Makes sense if

  • Your current rate is already 7% or higher
  • You need a large amount and want one fixed payment
  • You're paying off debt at much higher rates

Skip it if

  • Your current rate is below 6%
  • A home equity loan covers what you need
Check my situation
Is your current mortgage rate 7% or higher?
Is the cash for a large, specific need?
Is your current rate below 6%?
Depends

Home equity loan or line

It keeps your low first-mortgage rate. Worth it for a real need with a payoff plan, not for everyday spending.

Makes sense if

  • Remodeling or adding a backyard unit that adds value or rent
  • Paying off credit cards at 20%+, with the habit fixed
  • Bridging into your next home before you sell

Skip it if

  • Vacations, cars or everyday spending
  • You'd keep less than 20% equity afterward
  • A rising variable rate would strain you
Check my situation
Is the money for a remodel, an ADU, high-rate debt or a bridge to your next home?
Will you still have at least 20% equity afterward?
Is it for spending you'd otherwise skip?

Selling

Depends

Selling now

Buyers are fewer and picky. Homes that are priced right and offer credits sell; overpriced ones sit and get cut anyway.

Makes sense if

  • You need to move in the next 6 to 12 months
  • You'll price to today's market, not last spring's
  • You're open to paying some buyer costs

Skip it if

  • You'd only sell at a peak-era price
  • You could rent it out profitably and wait
Check my situation
Do you need to move within 12 months?
Will you price to today's comparable sales?
Would you only sell at a 2022 peak price?
Depends

Buying your next home before selling

A bridge or home equity loan can fund the down payment so you're not stuck. With homes taking longer to sell, budget for carrying both for a few months.

Makes sense if

  • You have strong equity in your current home
  • You can carry both payments for 3 to 6 months
  • Your current home is priced to sell

Skip it if

  • You'd struggle with two payments
  • Your current home needs work before listing
Check my situation
Do you have at least 30% equity in your current home?
Could you carry both payments for 3 to 6 months?
Does your home need major work before it can sell?
Green light

Behind on payments: sell, short sale or modify

Act early. Most Seattle owners still have equity, so selling before foreclosure usually protects it. Washington also offers foreclosure mediation for owner-occupied homes.

Makes sense if

  • You've missed a payment or expect to
  • You have equity: a regular sale can keep it
  • You owe more than the home is worth: ask about a short sale or loan modification

Skip it if

  • Waiting for the trustee sale date to decide
  • Signing your home over to an investor without independent advice
Check my situation
Have you missed a payment or expect to soon?
Do you know roughly what your home would sell for today?
Have you talked with your loan servicer yet?

Investing

Depends

Buying a rental property

Buy for cash flow, not appreciation. Forecasts range from flat prices to declines, so the rent has to carry the property at today's rate.

Makes sense if

  • The rent covers the payment, taxes, insurance and repairs at today's rate
  • You'll have 6+ months of reserves
  • You're buying with seller credits or below list

Skip it if

  • It only works if rates drop and you refinance
  • You're counting on price growth
Check my situation
Does the rent cover all costs at today's rate, with no refinance?
Will you have 6 months of reserves after closing?
Does the deal depend on prices rising?

The Move Meter is general market commentary, not a recommendation for your situation and not a commitment to lend. Readings reflect Seattle-area conditions as of October 31, 2026 and can change quickly with rates, prices and the economy. Your loan officer will look at your full picture before you decide.

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