Jobs report

October hiring far beats forecasts, pushing bond yields and mortgage rates higher

· Enrique Pelayo Jr., NMLS #131435

Employers added far more jobs in October than economists expected and unemployment dipped, sending Treasury yields up Friday morning. That likely gives back some of this week's mortgage-rate improvement and revives talk of a tighter Fed in December.

The Labor Department's October report showed hiring well above every major forecast, a big step up from September. Earlier months were also revised higher, and the unemployment rate slipped instead of holding steady as expected. After a year of mostly slow hiring, it is the clearest sign in months that the job market still has some strength.

Bond traders reacted quickly. Treasury yields rose after the release, reversing part of the rally that followed the midterm elections. Mortgage rates track those yields closely, so lenders are likely to price somewhat higher today than they did Thursday, when rates were at their best level since late September.

The report also feeds the debate at the Federal Reserve. Two officials already voted for a hike at the October meeting, and a strong labor market makes a cut in December less likely. Several outlets reported traders adding to bets on tighter policy. The next big test is the October inflation report later this month.

Our rates today

Lender sheets as of Nov 6, 8:18 AM PT
LoanRateAPRSince yesterday
30-year fixed6.750%6.790%unch.
15-year fixed6.125%6.201%unch.
30-year FHA6.250%6.820%unch.
30-year VA6.375%6.533%unch.
30-year jumbo6.875%6.898%unch.
5-year ARM6.375%6.425%unch.

Purchase of a $750,000 primary home in King County with 20% down and a 760 credit score (jumbo: $1.8 million with 25% down; VA: eligible veteran, same price and down payment). Lowest rate with no points from today's wholesale lender sheets. Your rate depends on your credit, loan and property. Not a commitment to lend. Price your own scenario

Lean lockToday's take: A much stronger-than-expected October jobs report pushed bond yields higher this morning, and mortgage pricing is likely to give back part of this week's gains. See the full view

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Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation for October 2026, Nov 6, 2026; Associated Press via Transport Topics, Nov 6, 2026; Fox Business, Nov 6, 2026; Bloomberg and CNBC Treasury market coverage, Nov 6, 2026; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Nov 5, 2026.

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