Rates today

Bonds slide again after Veterans Day as oil climbs and Fed hike bets build

· Enrique Pelayo Jr., NMLS #131435

When the bond market reopened after the holiday, Treasury yields pushed higher again on rising oil prices and growing expectations of more than one Fed rate hike. Mortgage pricing moved up with them.

The bond market was closed Wednesday for Veterans Day, and it picked up Thursday right where it left off. Treasury yields rose again, extending the sharp selloff that followed Tuesday's hotter-than-expected October inflation report. Higher oil prices tied to geopolitical tension added to the worry that inflation is not cooling.

Markets now treat a December rate hike from the Fed as close to certain, and some major banks expect a further increase early next year. Fed officials have been openly discussing whether to move faster, and Governor Waller left the door open to a larger step in December.

Daily mortgage rate trackers showed rates moving higher Thursday morning. The next test comes Friday with October wholesale inflation (PPI). Another hot reading could add more pressure; a softer one might give bonds a chance to steady.

Our rates today

Lender sheets as of Nov 12, 6:16 AM PT
LoanRateAPRSince yesterday
30-year fixed6.750%6.810%unch.
15-year fixed6.250%6.326%unch.
30-year FHA6.250%6.833%unch.
30-year VA6.375%6.533%unch.
30-year jumbo6.990%7.014%unch.
5-year ARM6.500%6.551%unch.

Purchase of a $750,000 primary home in King County with 20% down and a 760 credit score (jumbo: $1.8 million with 25% down; VA: eligible veteran, same price and down payment). Lowest rate with no points from today's wholesale lender sheets. Your rate depends on your credit, loan and property. Not a commitment to lend. Price your own scenario

LockToday's take: Bonds kept selling off as markets reopened after Veterans Day, with rising oil prices and growing bets on more than one Fed hike pushing yields and mortgage pricing higher. See the full view

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Sources: CNBC, Treasury market report, Nov 12, 2026; Yahoo Finance, daily mortgage rates, Nov 12, 2026; Federal Reserve Board, Governor Waller speech on the economic outlook, Nov 10, 2026; The Washington Times, Fed officials weigh faster hikes, Nov 11, 2026.

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